Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.377845 0.431607 0.493514 0.570824 0.665852 0.780278 0.930725
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.303034 0.373684 0.464533 0.593229 0.776662 1.038693 1.461984
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.250113 0.324810 0.428529 0.589772 0.848047 1.274970 2.113287
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.218617 0.295637 0.409352 0.600414 0.939665 1.583618 3.135416
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.187564 0.260522 0.372775 0.571844 0.952782 1.757319 4.064224
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.163062 0.231079 0.339058 0.538759 0.944611 1.882568 5.037054
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.145104 0.209209 0.313782 0.514517 0.945476 2.030612 6.332794
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.139793 0.206664 0.320187 0.550642 1.089485 2.651618 11.042036
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.138884 0.211076 0.339233 0.616753 1.336175 3.844282 25.651077
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.134388 0.208634 0.345109 0.656381 1.536486 5.170276 61.054325
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.128690 0.203302 0.344470 0.680950 1.708209 6.695807 168.407843
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.121778 0.194965 0.336557 0.685951 1.821391 8.175758 548.850686
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.111796 0.180483 0.315244 0.655228 1.806217 8.915360 1716.863206
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.105040 0.171600 0.304840 0.651964 1.900888 10.918491 188230.756465
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.098260 0.162047 0.291804 0.638800 1.952345 12.862061 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.093787 0.156557 0.286925 0.647703 2.110454 17.031314 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.087007 0.145915 0.269246 0.615134 2.056445 18.111088 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.080593 0.135555 0.251208 0.578334 1.965696 18.353171 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.075378 0.127268 0.237181 0.551551 1.916264 19.382961 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.074622 0.127944 0.243958 0.591329 2.255966 33.372614 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.075452 0.131952 0.259238 0.664410 2.897607 85.747832 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.074527 0.132163 0.265272 0.708368 3.431038 214.058934 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.072844 0.130585 0.266557 0.735675 3.893732 590.872325 NaN